NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5168f2568b7115faf6219038e17c0700a9eaa4d3bf74ab713c5863b985f10827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 1,889$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,694$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 59c | 1,372$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 950$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 28c | 875.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.04 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 797.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.77 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 53c | 762$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 28c | 663.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 33c | 628.75$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 46c | 558.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.35 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 37c | 410.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Over | 77c | 260.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 236.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 39c | 208.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 182.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 164.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 155.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 72c | 110.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…4ffebacked Under | 27c | 69.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 30c | 59.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 26c | 40.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…068ebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 53c | 20.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Herbert Jones: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Pelicans vs. JazzPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5Over won
- Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.