CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02cb347fb9a37b62b3870b8d042c398c910105f05a4063d114dd9b0bab02f2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcaae…1256backed Under | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 71c | 1,315$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 19c | 1,259$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Over | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 31c | 686.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 682.99$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 42c | 416.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 33c | 305$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 71c | 253.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 24c | 143.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 72c | 138.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 27c | 100.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Under | 57c | 98.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 56c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 71c | 55.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…bea7backed Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.