Earnings · resolved market
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ce00c0743967e61fef9e3e5cd164e1f1ed2f181d2f6e19fb067d4a5860046c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 56c | 637.16$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.53 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed No | 79c | 629.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 49c | 216.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +12.8wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 49c | 205.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 39c | 154.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…63fdbacked Yes | 50c | 146.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 47c | 144.37$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 52c | 138.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…daeebacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…0266backed Yes | 48c | 103.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 64c | 94.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 30c | 89.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed No | 41c | 86.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 56c | 84.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 56c | 71.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 27c | 60.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 51.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…3fbebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…0319backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…90c1backed No | 54c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…89d1backed Yes | 39c | 35.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 35.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 51c | 34.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Yes | 40c | 31.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed No | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 51c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…aa24backed Yes | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.