Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc66f8fc853c3c1bcd43cc15f153ef8322b1006acf564c3c855d09c03ddcca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 58c | 31,055$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,054.76 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…b7cfbacked Yes | 9c | 16,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 19c | 15,574$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 72c | 14,169$10,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.21 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…d24bbacked No | 8c | 12,250$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed No | 61c | 11,075$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6536backed Yes | 8c | 11,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…089cbacked No | 5c | 10,500$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…8410backed Yes | 8c | 10,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 54c | 8,341$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.55 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35a…8136backed No | 4c | 8,250$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 68c | 6,670$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 32c | 6,157$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 41c | 4,945$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 30c | 3,894$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 3,698$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.86 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…4c2abacked Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 64c | 2,816$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.51 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…441cbacked No | 6c | 2,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 45c | 1,754$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,168$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.97 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed Yes | 60c | 908.48$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.12 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 63c | 849.27$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 58c | 809.78$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.31 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 68c | 800.81$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 50c | 795.12$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.13 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 60c | 780$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 51c | 730.58$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 58c | 703.42$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…ab2fbacked Yes | 46c | 662$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 59c | 606.01$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 12c | 532.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.1 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Yes | 19c | 526$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 34c | 506$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f922backed No | 70c | 495.03$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…4c57backed No | 75c | 450.38$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 37c | 435.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.06 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebc…d01bbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed No | 68c | 363$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 34c | 349.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 13c | 310$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 49c | 308.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…2c7bbacked Yes | 76c | 274.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 14c | 236$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…5667backed No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e1…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 50c | 194.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 7c | 179$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…e800backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…57d1backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…a91dbacked Yes | 60c | 159.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed Yes | 34c | 152$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d37ebacked Yes | 50c | 139.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 74c | 131.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed No | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 123.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…7e1fbacked Yes | 36c | 119.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 23c | 111.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 60c | 110.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2624…b720backed Yes | 64c | 102.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…176fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 29c | 96.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 44c | 88.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2c…bd80backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 16c | 80.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…0ab8backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…f8e9backed No | 68c | 59.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 61c | 57.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…7008backed No | 32c | 54.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…d389backed No | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…d6fdbacked Yes | 62c | 50.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…adfebacked No | 33c | 45.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…192fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…fd72backed No | 46c | 43.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…238bbacked Yes | 62c | 43.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…45b7backed Yes | 57c | 43.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…718bbacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…665ebacked No | 42c | 37.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…1332backed Yes | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…25a3backed Yes | 42c | 34.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571a…4834backed No | 77c | 31.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…ccb4backed Yes | 57c | 31.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…5d7cbacked Yes | 80c | 30.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…28a9backed No | 69c | 28.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…d9cabacked Yes | 53c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…2639backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 16-22?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.