Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anna Bondar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c89d99599bff0115272023aeeba95dba0b786e2159a9d84881c924cecc8e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uchijimaof Uchijima, Bondar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bondar | 31c | 4,984$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.57 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bondar | 56c | 1,574$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…c982backed Bondar | 57c | 1,558$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Uchijima | 75c | 1,447$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Uchijima | 47c | 1,225$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.22 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bondar | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Uchijima | 43c | 999.65$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bondar | 18c | 642.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bondar | 34c | 630$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Uchijima | 39c | 542.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Uchijima | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Uchijima | 62c | 485.18$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Bondar | 32c | 442.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bondar | 33c | 414$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Uchijima | 52c | 384.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bondar | 27c | 288.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Uchijima | 42c | 239.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Uchijima | 54c | 215.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Uchijima | 51c | 215.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Uchijima | 51c | 200.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Uchijima | 39c | 185.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Bondar | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bondar | 54c | 150.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bondar | 47c | 147.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Uchijima | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Bondar | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Bondar | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bondar | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Uchijima | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bondar | 32c | 97.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Uchijima | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Bondar | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Uchijima | 52c | 57.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Uchijima | 67c | 57.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bondar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…b748backed Uchijima | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Bondar | 60c | 47.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Bondar | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Bondar | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Bondar | 44c | 43.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bondar | 56c | 42.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bondar | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bondar | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uchijima | 63c | 32.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Uchijima | 43c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Bondar | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Uchijima | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…7887backed Uchijima | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.