Earnings · resolved market
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x517bed3de0d0c85cffeee0f2febe5f93e9fa56e277f014212760103ad426d04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 52c | 1,582$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.46 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed No | 72c | 1,000$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…512fbacked Yes | 48c | 749.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 51c | 687$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed No | 75c | 531.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 78c | 467$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 20c | 355.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…954abacked Yes | 31c | 310.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 233.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 213.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 36c | 204.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…18d7backed Yes | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 27c | 164.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 26c | 155.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 35c | 152.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…cffdbacked Yes | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 70c | 141.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…314cbacked Yes | 32c | 119.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 38c | 113.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 35c | 72.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 25c | 66.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 25c | 57.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 55.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 36c | 47.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked No | 74c | 46.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Yes | 25c | 46.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…3fbebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked Yes | 30c | 38.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 47c | 29.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 72c | 25.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked Yes | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed Yes | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed No | 73c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 66c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 67c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…6df4backed No | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed No | 70c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.