Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53a06b93db6854ca04efb4e5f7b5080f70f193b3a13ae0ad8cb1eff3dc8d921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 70c | 4,013$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.21 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 65c | 2,581$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 75c | 1,787$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 28c | 1,606$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 30c | 1,487$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…857cbacked No | 1c | 1,277$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,074$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…5d20backed Yes | 70c | 1,067$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 1,018$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.33 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…9948backed Yes | 70c | 1,001$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 892.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 29c | 691.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 670.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…913bbacked No | 35c | 666$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 70c | 651.01$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…fc0abacked No | 21c | 589.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 588.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…744dbacked No | 24c | 573.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 27c | 568.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…9c1dbacked No | 14c | 517.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 33c | 468$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 18c | 457.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…dd22backed No | 22c | 457.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…46cbbacked Yes | 66c | 449.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 24c | 425.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 37c | 379.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…9318backed Yes | 63c | 352.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…5a54backed Yes | 75c | 314.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdb…81e6backed Yes | 64c | 308.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 33c | 282.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…3bd4backed No | 36c | 276.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cfc9backed No | 10c | 208.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…54cdbacked Yes | 67c | 204$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…7075backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed No | 38c | 194$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…852dbacked No | 40c | 194$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…382fbacked No | 24c | 191.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 176.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 71c | 161.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cd…0a4cbacked No | 33c | 152.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…6077backed Yes | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…7af3backed Yes | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…e855backed Yes | 77c | 138.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 137$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…1829backed No | 35c | 127.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 70c | 125.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 35c | 115.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 78c | 114.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…6cdcbacked Yes | 71c | 113.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 33c | 97.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 79c | 94.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 26c | 91.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 30c | 89.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 89.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 12c | 88.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 29c | 81.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…f4f7backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…b7cabacked No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…0ae4backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…cfe1backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 72c | 75.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…3d43backed Yes | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 32c | 69.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…ed0fbacked Yes | 67c | 66.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 30c | 57.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 70c | 55.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…e021backed Yes | 62c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…5bbabacked Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…6ee3backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…c96dbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…5de9backed No | 27c | 48.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 26c | 46.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 26c | 46.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…12b4backed No | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 40.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 62c | 30.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…3610backed Yes | 71c | 30.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…49ddbacked Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 29.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 68c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed Yes | 77c | 27.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1a…841ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 74c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 64c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 66c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?this page
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?No won
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.