Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92197207636b8e30492f9d25e0833677914a178ff91113980f6f0fc8f0392746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 5,302$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.33 | 126 | 23.8%30 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 15c | 2,290$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.56 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 79c | 2,173$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.17 | 368 | 34.2%126 W · 242 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 22c | 2,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 12c | 1,995$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.61 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 11c | 1,158$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 166 | 34.3%57 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked No | 18c | 1,110$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 14c | 1,029$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 847.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked No | 14c | 825.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 11c | 760.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 16c | 672.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 11c | 670.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 9c | 650$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 13c | 618.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked No | 14c | 600$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 17c | 574.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 9c | 534.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 530.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 9c | 524.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 14c | 501.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 432.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 109 | 2.8%3 W · 106 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed No | 17c | 429.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed No | 20c | 425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 66c | 397.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 207 | 43.5%90 W · 117 L | +15.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 76c | 377.8$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 4c | 357.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…c57fbacked No | 21c | 357.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 11c | 345.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 73c | 340$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 214 | 31.3%67 W · 147 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 13c | 326.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 325.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 378 | 22.2%84 W · 294 L | -28.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 35c | 325$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 15c | 285.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 279.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 199 | 11.1%22 W · 177 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked No | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 14c | 205.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…b62cbacked No | 13c | 201.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 16c | 199.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 79c | 195.12$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 25c | 194.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 77c | 191.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 189.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 543 | 12%65 W · 478 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 73c | 174$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 268 | 62.7%168 W · 100 L | +27.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked No | 17c | 160.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 79c | 158.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…49e6backed No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…9766backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…6f23backed No | 20c | 153.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…1ed4backed No | 23c | 140.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed No | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 128$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…e7a0backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 78c | 123.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 175 | 32.6%57 W · 118 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…3996backed No | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 13c | 108.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked No | 19c | 107.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…b7f2backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…7096backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…82b3backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 17c | 92.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 736 | 15.1%111 W · 625 L | -113.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed No | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 16c | 70.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 24c | 67.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 77c | 63.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…543abacked No | 17c | 61.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…bcd7backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…9be8backed Yes | 77c | 54.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…b597backed Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…83dcbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…b6a9backed Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 75c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?this page
- Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
- Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.