Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe91017ec2513596455c5aa56f7397a9e2e0596812a6c70267dd2049d771051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Buffalo Bulls, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 3,206$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.13 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 2,945$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 60c | 2,209$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 54c | 1,326$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.04 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bowling Green Falcons | 42c | 1,322$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 1,077$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 999.98$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 30c | 622$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bowling Green Falcons | 31c | 440.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 27c | 420.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 403.83$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 393.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 267$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo Bulls | 58c | 171.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 75c | 148$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 22c | 139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Buffalo Bulls | 59c | 131.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Buffalo Bulls | 24c | 103.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Buffalo Bulls | 24c | 100.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Bowling Green Falcons | 54c | 93.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Buffalo Bulls | 26c | 85.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Buffalo Bulls | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Buffalo Bulls | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Buffalo Bulls | 24c | 78.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 74c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 58c | 73.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 60c | 63.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Buffalo Bulls | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Buffalo Bulls | 32c | 47.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 44.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Buffalo Bulls | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 39.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 45c | 36.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…a474backed Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 32.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Buffalo Bulls | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…721ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 27.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Bowling Green Falcons | 49c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…0f53backed Bowling Green Falcons | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 25.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…f29cbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 24.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Buffalo Bulls | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Bowling Green Falcons | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 77c | 13.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falconsthis page
- Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.