Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ae424148490cfa4537b4593a5c68a4cf0259baa00037c8280aa5f3052598bd

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 14, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $256,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $212,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,183 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	0c	25,194$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	7,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	0c	6,489$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	1c	5,588$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c35…feebbacked Yes	1c	5,254$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.1	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	1c	5,100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	0c	4,857$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31ed…d18cbacked Yes	2c	3,276$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.81	58	5.2%3 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed Yes	0c	3,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	3,023$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	11c	3,000$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.21	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	6c	2,890$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.14	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	2,143$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.31	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,109$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	2,019$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.26	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	6c	1,959$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	126	14.3%18 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	1c	1,656$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,639$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9721…0c3ebacked Yes	14c	1,595$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.7	108	18.5%20 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	12c	1,522$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.25	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	78c	1,300$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	78c	1,085$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.82	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eb3…16e7backed Yes	17c	1,069$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.34	119	18.5%22 W · 97 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	22c	1,000$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.73	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked Yes	5c	988.69$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.43	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…3badbacked Yes	2c	952.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	16c	941.87$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.51	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e53…5a39backed Yes	14c	920.77$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.83	144	11.1%16 W · 128 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…4471backed Yes	4c	893.61$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.58	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	866.06$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.83	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x665b…73babacked Yes	10c	834.79$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.13	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	20c	799.96$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.99	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee0…5447backed Yes	5c	794.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	2c	653.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	13c	637.12$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.92	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac7…4816backed Yes	23c	599.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	599.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	8c	596.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	593.72$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c6…1f12backed Yes	7c	590.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774d…5cdabacked Yes	4c	499.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	21c	476.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.12	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…bafebacked Yes	22c	446.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	28.9%22 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	14c	347.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes	25c	340$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4326…c3a8backed Yes	21c	299.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5cf…0ef8backed Yes	16c	294.83$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.02	100	7%7 W · 93 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	284.29$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	19c	279.21$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.05	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	78c	261$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.8	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c7…a6f5backed Yes	4c	249.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	13c	248.69$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe5…4689backed Yes	22c	247.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0fd…434abacked Yes	21c	235.47$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.65	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	158	19%30 W · 128 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bf…3658backed Yes	21c	221.94$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.91	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0067…446fbacked Yes	10c	203.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	9.4%5 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x863c…655cbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	108	16.7%18 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd5…2036backed Yes	20c	200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	11c	193.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	79c	192.67$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.27	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes	23c	175.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e41…9054backed Yes	8c	165.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes	7c	160.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes	13c	159.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	442	27.4%121 W · 321 L	-21.9wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	22c	145.45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes	8c	132.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	182	24.2%44 W · 138 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd064…c4d1backed Yes	15c	124.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…d610backed Yes	21c	123.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+41%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…3315backed Yes	22c	123.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Yes	10c	121.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Yes	23c	120$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc819…8c33backed Yes	25c	113.6$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e50…98f0backed Yes	14c	109.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	330	27.9%92 W · 238 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83cc…5ad9backed Yes	23c	105$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0d…ed88backed Yes	13c	104.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed87…b78abacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	4.3%2 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	15cpaid	-76%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a48…d8f8backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x404f…f2a1backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	296	10.5%31 W · 265 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7750…324dbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	22c	99.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	510	18.2%93 W · 417 L	-89.7wins	-0.18per pick	36cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked No	76c	99.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	20c	91.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006d…5cd7backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.11per pick	14cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c80…442ebacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x272f…ba8abacked Yes	21c	75.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes	24c	70.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8139…d3c5backed Yes	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd0f…e262backed Yes	24c	61.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.77	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d5…853dbacked No	78c	50.28$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.06	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebb…28b8backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event