NFL · resolved market
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446635c4bba5d41a585381c16c4695e0b41f84742d2b4fda90033e2b736d85e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 31c | 2,395$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 65c | 799.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…3873backed No | 78c | 592.96$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 76c | 571.37$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 5c | 534.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 20c | 499.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 461.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 31c | 345.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 76c | 265.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked No | 77c | 259.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed No | 75c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 33c | 165.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 78c | 141.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…bd54backed No | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 9c | 126$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c6…17fabacked No | 80c | 125.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 80c | 123.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 11c | 113.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f1…e73cbacked Yes | 56c | 107.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Yes | 29c | 95.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 24c | 93.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 22c | 90.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked No | 69c | 84.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 17c | 76.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…be76backed No | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…b286backed Yes | 34c | 58.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 54.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 36c | 52.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…7624backed Yes | 35c | 52.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…1b9ebacked No | 68c | 51.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…8f43backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…bcc6backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…0d02backed No | 66c | 45.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 68c | 41.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…3438backed Yes | 25c | 40.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…47e6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…015dbacked No | 79c | 37.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 36.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…0aa1backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 34.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed No | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked No | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…8618backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…b4efbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…2ea6backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…3709backed No | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…dbc4backed No | 79c | 20.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e42…fc2dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…8189backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gavin Newsom attend Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Justin Bieber attend Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will LeBron James attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Livvy Dunne attend Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nicki Minaj attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Tom Brady attend Super Bowl LX?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.