Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc422c36d7abc58220f158e0dbc6307f6b28c032c825a6863bef918c2330b82e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 12,813$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 10,293$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jurij Rodionov | 37c | 4,732$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 3,981$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 2,220$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.78 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jurij Rodionov | 52c | 1,867$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 1,507$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.37 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 1,314$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 935$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Jurij Rodionov | 22c | 926.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 914.75$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.32 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 879.26$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 862.56$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 848.01$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 812.44$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 728.08$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.6 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 699$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 690$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jurij Rodionov | 6c | 681.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 630$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 564.86$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 521.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 518.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.52 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 505.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 498.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 487.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 449.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 449.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 34c | 437.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 431.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 50c | 323.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 306.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Jurij Rodionov | 20c | 300.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jurij Rodionov | 36c | 294.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Sebastian Ofner | 68c | 293.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 292.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 274.87$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 272.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 37c | 270.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 263.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 238.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 236.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 233.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 219.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 206.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 192.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 25c | 182.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 150.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 108.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…b555backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 86.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 85.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 71.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 63.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…1463backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jurij Rodionov | 34c | 56.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jurij Rodionov | 24c | 50.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Jurij Rodionov | 37c | 47.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Jurij Rodionov | 32c | 47.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Jurij Rodionov | 38c | 46.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Jurij Rodionov | 36c | 46.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Jurij Rodionov | 40c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs RodionovOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.