NHL · resolved market
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Skellefteaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02916dc6e4693f15a7faa730c47af2c9d945068d5bc178392ec685ecc0c9f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Froelunda HC, Skellefteaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8577…a6dfbacked Skellefteaa | 47c | 11,370$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…4cd4backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 5,849$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…e56fbacked Froelunda HC | 53c | 5,522$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 4,500$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.57 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…b4efbacked Skellefteaa | 46c | 2,629$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…5a8dbacked Skellefteaa | 46c | 2,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd18…c231backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 2,230$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 1,824$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 1,456$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…9604backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 1,297$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Froelunda HC | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Froelunda HC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…5255backed Skellefteaa | 48c | 484.5$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Froelunda HC | 53c | 408.48$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Skellefteaa | 47c | 349$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Skellefteaa | 45c | 157.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Froelunda HC | 54c | 122$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Skellefteaa | 19c | 121$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Skellefteaa | 46c | 103.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Skellefteaa | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Froelunda HC | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 70.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…af5cbacked Froelunda HC | 55c | 61.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Skellefteaa | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Skellefteaa | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Skellefteaa | 44c | 43.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Skellefteaa | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4f9bbacked Froelunda HC | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Skellefteaa | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Skellefteaa | 44c | 29.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Skellefteaa | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Skellefteaa | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Froelunda HC | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.