TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

ATX Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Taylor Townsend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Townsendof Bartunkova, Townsend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fa9…c100backed Bartunkova59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Bartunkova2c8,999$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.651,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bartunkova6c7,947$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bartunkova45c6,926$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bartunkova13c5,833$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.772,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bartunkova14c5,526$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.192,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Townsend39c4,862$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.4176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Townsend43c3,322$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.461,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Townsend42c2,928$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.131,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Bartunkova55c2,239$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.584040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacde…cff5backed Bartunkova9c2,068$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bartunkova3c1,699$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Bartunkova61c1,558$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5244448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Bartunkova61c1,489$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bartunkova19c1,328$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Bartunkova59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Bartunkova58c1,151$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.8622553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bartunkova52c1,044$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Bartunkova58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Townsend41c955$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.4524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Townsend43c926.35$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.111,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Townsend57c875.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0247946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Bartunkova60c829.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Townsend46c800.61$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.321,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Bartunkova59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47214536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bartunkova3c755$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bartunkova8c627.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.276,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Bartunkova59c624.08$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1720542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Townsend47c532.76$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7970752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Bartunkova40c531.15$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Bartunkova59c510.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bartunkova37c466.44$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.076,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Bartunkova30c448.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Bartunkova52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Townsend41c393.03$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8828933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bartunkova32c389.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.273,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Bartunkova46c363.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.772,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Townsend43c325.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5843448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Bartunkova59c315$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.131,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Townsend41c303.05$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0524560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Townsend76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Townsend47c290.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.954,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Bartunkova58c285.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8621959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Townsend43c267.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6743353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Bartunkova63c254.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95e…0bc8backed Townsend43c250.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Townsend43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Townsend75c235.32$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.998,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Bartunkova12c233.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Townsend45c219.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Bartunkova58c217.5$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.560055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bartunkova57c204$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.286,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bartunkova38c201.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.722,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Bartunkova59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Bartunkova5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bartunkova25c199.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.717,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Townsend50c199.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.391,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Bartunkova58c190.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2618863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Bartunkova59c182.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7576546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Bartunkova18c178.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Bartunkova58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Bartunkova61c164.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Bartunkova57c161.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Bartunkova61c160$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.849142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Townsend42c153.57$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6542046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ed…0f83backed Bartunkova24c152$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Bartunkova58c144$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5286647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bartunkova56c136.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Bartunkova61c128.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7835268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Bartunkova58c127.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Bartunkova55c124.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2740744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Townsend43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.425546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Townsend43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Townsend45c113.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7947552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bartunkova28c108.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.544,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Townsend43c105.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.924540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Townsend42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Bartunkova58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Bartunkova58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5043…979ebacked Townsend45c97.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bartunkova54c92.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Bartunkova55c91.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996134.4%21 W · 40 L-11.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Bartunkova55c90.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…1dd4backed Bartunkova60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Bartunkova47c76.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Townsend43c72.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.315330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Townsend42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1860240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Townsend73c68.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0620758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bartunkova59c60.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7578452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Townsend44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0919653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bartunkova33c56.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.453,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Bartunkova58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d3…25f8backed Bartunkova58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Townsend41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.518551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Bartunkova58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2999255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Bartunkova58c49.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9825051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Bartunkova61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5344…630ebacked Bartunkova44c48.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.355738.6%22 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Townsend43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5123256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Townsend43c46.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.32055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.