NHL · resolved market
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Oerebro HK
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409c3552a9d54c335875a7aec74e43ea96dfd3dacc2096308f4d7af8baff8c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oerebro HKof Froelunda HC, Oerebro HK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 735$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 688$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…e76abacked Oerebro HK | 26c | 652$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…6c62backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 627$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed Oerebro HK | 26c | 549$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…fcacbacked Oerebro HK | 26c | 545$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…6e59backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 394$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 369$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Froelunda HC | 74c | 366$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0006…87b6backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 355$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…0b61backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 334$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…e897backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 318$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…1bccbacked Froelunda HC | 74c | 294$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 277$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…a500backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 274$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 272$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 272$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed Froelunda HC | 74c | 271$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Froelunda HC | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oerebro HK | 24c | 169.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Oerebro HK | 54c | 34.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Froelunda HC | 76c | 20.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.