CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc205512d1adcc19fdd4ed74628cda75777f71be1da1cf143915acd1fa39471fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, TEAM ORUGA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Players | 38c | 5,020$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TEAM ORUGA | 54c | 3,705$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.36 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 948.61$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Players | 39c | 697.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.39 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Players | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 105.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Players | 37c | 84.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed TEAM ORUGA | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed TEAM ORUGA | 51c | 72.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Players | 62c | 65.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Players | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…9a22backed Players | 22c | 62.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +347.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Players | 36c | 55.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed TEAM ORUGA | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked TEAM ORUGA | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Players | 38c | 42.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked TEAM ORUGA | 29c | 35.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…b58cbacked TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed TEAM ORUGA | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Players | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Players | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked TEAM ORUGA | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed TEAM ORUGA | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed TEAM ORUGA | 68c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked Players | 64c | 15.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 1 WinnerPlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs TEAM ORUGA - Map 2 WinnerTEAM ORUGA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.