Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9658c921a01883eb91b078b8108bd29b1bbdff96f4d5bc8ada187b2d28cef8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 3,312$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 1,721$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,301$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 3c | 592.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 511.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 27c | 364.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 362.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 28c | 311.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 209.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 114.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 103.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked Yes | 48c | 68.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 43c | 64.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 52.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 37.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.