Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95099a4c1df59abd3f5ff49b3c845ee396b26af396cae3ab80684cd024c94833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- D familyof D family, InterActive Philippines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked InterActive Philippines | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked D family | 56c | 1,045$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed InterActive Philippines | 52c | 899.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.87 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked D family | 57c | 748.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.78 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed D family | 47c | 611.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed InterActive Philippines | 62c | 419.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 36c | 414.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed D family | 66c | 269.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked InterActive Philippines | 40c | 262.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked InterActive Philippines | 54c | 227.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked D family | 60c | 205.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked D family | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed InterActive Philippines | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed InterActive Philippines | 50c | 159.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked InterActive Philippines | 19c | 152.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 142.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed D family | 60c | 132.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked InterActive Philippines | 50c | 119.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked D family | 53c | 112.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed InterActive Philippines | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed D family | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InterActive Philippines | 44c | 92.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed D family | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed D family | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed InterActive Philippines | 26c | 78.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked InterActive Philippines | 31c | 74.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed D family | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked D family | 67c | 64.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked InterActive Philippines | 28c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked InterActive Philippines | 46c | 62.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked InterActive Philippines | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…733cbacked D family | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed D family | 66c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked InterActive Philippines | 35c | 35.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked D family | 52c | 32.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed D family | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed D family | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked D family | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked D family | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed InterActive Philippines | 44c | 27.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…0aafbacked InterActive Philippines | 61c | 22.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed D family | 56c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked D family | 70c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9a…9456backed D family | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia PlayoffsD family won
- Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 WinnerInterActive Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.