Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3d050a0a366afbe8cb83ad420c638a7905dd2629f4eed15f3c638ace8f0bd6

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mandatoryof Mandatory, Beşiktaş Esports
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2276…efd0backed Mandatory	65c	7,232$4,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,562.87	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+5.0wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed Mandatory	65c	2,303$1,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.23	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	2,000$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.5	417	34.8%145 W · 272 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	1,819$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.8	114	50%57 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mandatory	65c	1,217$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.08	324	62.7%203 W · 121 L	+31.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	1,109$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.23	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Beşiktaş Esports	32c	922.09$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Beşiktaş Esports	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	297	33.3%99 W · 198 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beşiktaş Esports	25c	747.07$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.75	463	26.6%123 W · 340 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Mandatory	67c	630.54$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.08	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	66cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	600$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	140	32.9%46 W · 94 L	-11.0wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	553.74$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.86	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	537.74$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.21	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beşiktaş Esports	8c	509.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	506.15$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.15	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Mandatory	66c	476.98$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.17	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Beşiktaş Esports	30c	400$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.96	520	50%260 W · 260 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Beşiktaş Esports	37c	400$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.92	553	48.3%267 W · 286 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Beşiktaş Esports	32c	399.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.39	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Mandatory	65c	384.62$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.62	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa01d…bb78backed Mandatory	71c	350$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.5	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Mandatory	62c	334.16$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.98	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	317.14$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Beşiktaş Esports	34c	305.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.04	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Beşiktaş Esports	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	294.2$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.97	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Mandatory	66c	249.99$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.08	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Beşiktaş Esports	18c	237.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.09	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	235$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	208.37$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.28	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Mandatory	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Beşiktaş Esports	11c	195.62$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Beşiktaş Esports	38c	190.77$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.7	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Mandatory	67c	182.99$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.85	159	73%116 W · 43 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Mandatory	63c	157.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.89	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Beşiktaş Esports	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	35%41 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	140.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	195	51.3%100 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18e…706dbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	137.6$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Mandatory	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Beşiktaş Esports	33c	130.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x628d…e642backed Mandatory	65c	128.08$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mandatory	63c	109.45$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.21	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Beşiktaş Esports	34c	109$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.35	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Beşiktaş Esports	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	99.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Beşiktaş Esports	38c	99.06$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.64	176	40.3%71 W · 105 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Beşiktaş Esports	25c	95$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Beşiktaş Esports	37c	93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	83.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Mandatory	74c	68.74$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.59	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7017…9896backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	66.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Beşiktaş Esports	25c	65.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	181	48.6%88 W · 93 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Mandatory	64c	65.23$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…e324backed Beşiktaş Esports	37c	62.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Beşiktaş Esports	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	55	20%11 W · 44 L	-11.5wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-57%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Mandatory	64c	56.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.47	164	51.8%85 W · 79 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e9…81f5backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2a…4b25backed Beşiktaş Esports	39c	54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f7…0e8cbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	51.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	75	61.3%46 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Beşiktaş Esports	27c	48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.89	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Beşiktaş Esports	31c	47.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Mandatory	62c	45.45$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	121	43%52 W · 69 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mandatory	72c	43.68$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.16	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Beşiktaş Esports	41c	42.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Beşiktaş Esports	33c	42.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Beşiktaş Esports	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Beşiktaş Esports	37c	35.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-46%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Mandatory	65c	35.38$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.38	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Beşiktaş Esports	38c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Mandatory	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Mandatory	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeae…17c7backed Mandatory	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Mandatory	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked Mandatory	65c	30.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.7	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	63cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Beşiktaş Esports	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Beşiktaş Esports	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Beşiktaş Esports	36c	29.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	492	55.3%272 W · 220 L	+23.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Mandatory	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Mandatory	74c	21.62$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b7…69e6backed Mandatory	62c	17.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Athis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs Beşiktaş Esports (+1.5)Mandatory won
Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 WinnerMandatory won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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