TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mandatoryof Mandatory, Beşiktaş Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Beşiktaş Esports0c53,950$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9530147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mandatory75c2,095$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9778562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Mandatory60c1,853$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.25362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Beşiktaş Esports40c1,366$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3511450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory66c814.18$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1794361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Beşiktaş Esports35c501.77$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2979650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Beşiktaş Esports29c500.01$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7455348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Beşiktaş Esports32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12852050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Beşiktaş Esports40c362.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8517640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beşiktaş Esports12c357$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.381,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mandatory72c306.24$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9140945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Mandatory66c238.71$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.165750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Beşiktaş Esports19c231.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Beşiktaş Esports34c170.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1218641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Mandatory77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3215973%116 W · 43 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Beşiktaş Esports19c131.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.191,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Beşiktaş Esports39c129$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.313644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Beşiktaş Esports37c124.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.074351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Beşiktaş Esports23c106.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Beşiktaş Esports46c106$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Beşiktaş Esports10c98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Beşiktaş Esports44c86.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Beşiktaş Esports24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Mandatory62c82.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.319945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports25c61.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.451,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Beşiktaş Esports31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Beşiktaş Esports28c58.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Beşiktaş Esports48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Beşiktaş Esports39c58.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.720439.2%80 W · 124 L-18.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Beşiktaş Esports49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511735%41 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Mandatory59c50.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4321641.7%90 W · 126 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Mandatory65c50.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5154439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Beşiktaş Esports40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7544342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Beşiktaş Esports42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217561.3%46 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Beşiktaş Esports47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Mandatory67c48.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd565…d785backed Mandatory76c42.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.347352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Beşiktaş Esports42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.866650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Beşiktaş Esports40c34.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6723644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Mandatory65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Beşiktaş Esports48c28.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Mandatory71c24.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Beşiktaş Esports49c22.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.