Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae487489588a064f760225e399663de7446260760837742e317341660087b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof Power Rangers, TEAM VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Power Rangers | 0c | 16,413$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Power Rangers | 2c | 8,085$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers | 11c | 5,088$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.79 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Power Rangers | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Power Rangers | 8c | 2,440$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Power Rangers | 6c | 1,880$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 4c | 1,423$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Power Rangers | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Power Rangers | 7c | 1,268$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Power Rangers | 6c | 1,008$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Power Rangers | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Power Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers | 9c | 870.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 6c | 723.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Power Rangers | 12c | 604.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed Power Rangers | 6c | 531.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed Power Rangers | 8c | 414.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked Power Rangers | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Power Rangers | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed Power Rangers | 7c | 252.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Power Rangers | 10c | 248.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Power Rangers | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Power Rangers | 6c | 182.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Power Rangers | 6c | 171$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Power Rangers | 11c | 145.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Power Rangers | 10c | 132.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Power Rangers | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Power Rangers | 10c | 102.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Power Rangers | 10c | 102.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Power Rangers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Power Rangers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Power Rangers | 12c | 91.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.