Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15997010fed314e4eab6443a12e2b416ca8935287c53216addc8ec6851d2f9ab

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Power Rangers
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,634 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Power Rangers	24c	50,317$11,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,971.84	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TEAM VISION	75c	11,625$8,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,886.13	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked TEAM VISION	79c	11,100$8,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292	281	59.8%168 W · 113 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TEAM VISION	75c	10,509$7,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,627.32	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Power Rangers	22c	7,968$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,775.84	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed Power Rangers	24c	7,645$1,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,839.24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked TEAM VISION	79c	6,937$5,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.37	93	44.1%41 W · 52 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed TEAM VISION	75c	6,909$5,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739.9	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed TEAM VISION	75c	3,130$2,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.45	246	36.6%90 W · 156 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed TEAM VISION	78c	2,921$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.59	335	49.9%167 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed TEAM VISION	77c	2,586$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.27	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked TEAM VISION	75c	1,379$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.67	195	47.7%93 W · 102 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked TEAM VISION	75c	1,240$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.61	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed TEAM VISION	75c	1,177$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.2	285	44.9%128 W · 157 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked TEAM VISION	77c	1,148$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.12	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed TEAM VISION	80c	820$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed TEAM VISION	75c	771.17$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.79	131	45%59 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Power Rangers	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed TEAM VISION	77c	768.45$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.04	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Power Rangers	27c	750$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed TEAM VISION	75c	714.64$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.66	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked TEAM VISION	74c	664.23$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.7	270	60%162 W · 108 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked TEAM VISION	75c	600.15$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.04	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed TEAM VISION	78c	575$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.5	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed TEAM VISION	75c	533.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	864	51.7%447 W · 417 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed TEAM VISION	75c	529.22$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.3	294	66%194 W · 100 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed TEAM VISION	76c	523.45$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.09	136	45.6%62 W · 74 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Power Rangers	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed TEAM VISION	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed TEAM VISION	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.34per pick	50cpaid	+75.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb983…20e6backed TEAM VISION	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed TEAM VISION	76c	486$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.64	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed TEAM VISION	80c	451.97$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.69	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Power Rangers	23c	430.39$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	140	30.7%43 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Power Rangers	20c	408$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	281	45.6%128 W · 153 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TEAM VISION	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed TEAM VISION	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed TEAM VISION	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	237	36.7%87 W · 150 L	-17.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Power Rangers	23c	399.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed TEAM VISION	75c	382.67$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.67	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Power Rangers	23c	350$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed TEAM VISION	78c	346$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.12	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc644…07bbbacked TEAM VISION	77c	340$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.2	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed TEAM VISION	74c	319.4$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.04	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed TEAM VISION	77c	305.43$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.08	430	67%288 W · 142 L	+31.9wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION	80c	300$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	513	64.9%333 W · 180 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Power Rangers	8c	299.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TEAM VISION	76c	293.25$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.32	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Power Rangers	24c	291.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed TEAM VISION	75c	284$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	140	48.6%68 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Power Rangers	22c	277.56$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked TEAM VISION	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	150	69.3%104 W · 46 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Power Rangers	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	536	34%182 W · 354 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed TEAM VISION	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed TEAM VISION	78c	166.67$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	71	66.2%47 W · 24 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked TEAM VISION	77c	162.5$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b0…a413backed Power Rangers	41c	153.71$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed TEAM VISION	77c	141.01$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…1a75backed TEAM VISION	78c	140.85$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0815…6e09backed TEAM VISION	69c	138.72$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.68	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…3eb7backed TEAM VISION	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked TEAM VISION	78c	130$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	207	63.3%131 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed TEAM VISION	73c	128.75$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.55	126	46%58 W · 68 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Power Rangers	18c	125.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked TEAM VISION	77c	109.42$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.57	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Power Rangers	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Power Rangers	21c	92.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed TEAM VISION	78c	88.94$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed TEAM VISION	67c	83.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.83	229	54.6%125 W · 104 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Power Rangers	21c	80.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Power Rangers	23c	66.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7217…54f6backed TEAM VISION	75c	64.39$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked TEAM VISION	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	180	46.1%83 W · 97 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked TEAM VISION	77c	57.29$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.24	881	66.7%588 W · 293 L	+76.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Power Rangers	24c	55.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked TEAM VISION	79c	52.9$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	321	48.3%155 W · 166 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed TEAM VISION	75c	50.27$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.57	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed TEAM VISION	78c	50.07$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	438	60.5%265 W · 173 L	+44.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed Power Rangers	32c	40.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed TEAM VISION	75c	39.32$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	395	59%233 W · 162 L	+18.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed TEAM VISION	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbec…e3f9backed TEAM VISION	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed TEAM VISION	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed TEAM VISION	75c	18.53$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.63	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked TEAM VISION	78c	15.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.38	274	66.4%182 W · 92 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed TEAM VISION	75c	14.13$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.53	508	55.5%282 W · 226 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65f…a4e4backed TEAM VISION	77c	13.23$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)this page
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTEAM VISION won
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION won
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event