Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. George Mason Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4594ab0d7225fa1f020822a9d13dac7b8124fe057266e4d70fe45dba682db5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Mason Patriotsof Penn Quakers, George Mason Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers | 12c | 4,090$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked George Mason Patriots | 75c | 2,486$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penn Quakers | 20c | 2,480$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Penn Quakers | 8c | 2,123$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Penn Quakers | 7c | 996.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn Quakers | 11c | 939.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…92b3backed Penn Quakers | 7c | 909.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked George Mason Patriots | 75c | 799.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Penn Quakers | 7c | 764.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Penn Quakers | 31c | 542.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Penn Quakers | 16c | 472.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Penn Quakers | 31c | 430.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Penn Quakers | 7c | 400.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 8c | 396.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Penn Quakers | 32c | 311.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Penn Quakers | 33c | 303.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn Quakers | 16c | 171.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…b7fbbacked Penn Quakers | 12c | 161.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Penn Quakers | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Penn Quakers | 24c | 141.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Penn Quakers | 9c | 136.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked George Mason Patriots | 79c | 124.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Penn Quakers | 14c | 117.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed George Mason Patriots | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Penn Quakers | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed George Mason Patriots | 72c | 28.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Mason Patriots | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. George Mason Patriotsthis page
- Penn Quakers vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 144.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.