TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boston Terriers vs. Bucknell Bison

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucknell Bisonof Boston Terriers, Bucknell Bison
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Boston Terriers12c2,143$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.461,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Boston Terriers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Terriers11c939.6$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Boston Terriers37c770$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.341,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Terriers13c691$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.151,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucknell Bison49c680.87$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.231,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Terriers13c609.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Terriers23c541.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.874,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bucknell Bison50c501.84$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.922,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Boston Terriers23c490$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.72528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bucknell Bison30c470.58$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Terriers19c384.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.132,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Boston Terriers56c357.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Bucknell Bison27c342$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.667451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04f8…6dcebacked Boston Terriers7c330$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boston Terriers69c309.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Boston Terriers61c291$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.382,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Bucknell Bison37c283.8$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3266831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Boston Terriers41c256.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.692,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked Bucknell Bison77c190.08$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.651540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Boston Terriers68c185.09$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Boston Terriers56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Boston Terriers23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.125325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Boston Terriers61c165.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucknell Bison50c134$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Bucknell Bison66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2118167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be4…009abacked Boston Terriers9c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucknell Bison50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Bucknell Bison75c101$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2514354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Bucknell Bison41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.312060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Boston Terriers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b5…10aebacked Boston Terriers26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…7c70backed Boston Terriers31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked Boston Terriers49c60.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2360…8886backed Boston Terriers58c51.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Boston Terriers56c45.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.468544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bucknell Bison56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Boston Terriers49c43.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ad…afd5backed Boston Terriers74c41.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Boston Terriers29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Boston Terriers58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Terriers41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Bucknell Bison52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Boston Terriers42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Bucknell Bison74c24.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4525239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Bucknell Bison50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa399…4dcebacked Boston Terriers64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boston Terriers71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.