TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Fluxo W7M48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,000.0623351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed paiN Gaming52c16,880$8,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,777.7513453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming49c12,847$6,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,260.051,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo W7M47c7,499$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.361,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M47c5,448$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.491,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M47c3,426$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.031,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked paiN Gaming43c3,112$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.2221740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked paiN Gaming52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Fluxo W7M58c2,270$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.1721857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed paiN Gaming46c2,178$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.011,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN Gaming51c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0303,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Fluxo W7M45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9941644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M52c1,826$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.2785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Fluxo W7M59c1,618$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed paiN Gaming52c1,546$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.7536034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed paiN Gaming48c1,520$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.8642050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked paiN Gaming51c1,083$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2366843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Fluxo W7M44c1,070$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.021,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed paiN Gaming31c1,068$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.71,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked paiN Gaming52c1,047$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9492450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked paiN Gaming2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…f596backed paiN Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Fluxo W7M49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Fluxo W7M47c999.95$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9712759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN Gaming54c975.71$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.41,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed paiN Gaming53c952.64$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.249745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked paiN Gaming57c890.98$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2819146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Fluxo W7M43c888$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1614753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed paiN Gaming52c810$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.222536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Fluxo W7M51c800$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.7523751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked paiN Gaming48c782.86$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.371,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked paiN Gaming5c729$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8125923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN Gaming14c721$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.381,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Fluxo W7M51c636$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8340347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Fluxo W7M49c624$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.512937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed paiN Gaming71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42642148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed paiN Gaming52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed paiN Gaming40c569.2$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.571,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked paiN Gaming55c410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.52,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed paiN Gaming25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6745618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Fluxo W7M48c393$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8314751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed paiN Gaming53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked paiN Gaming52c330.77$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17211245.5%51 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed paiN Gaming73c327.4$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23920756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed paiN Gaming52c324.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6441133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed paiN Gaming51c305.88$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15612035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming52c300.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.931,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Fluxo W7M47c299.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7618350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Fluxo W7M50c293.29$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0935035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed paiN Gaming52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Fluxo W7M52c266.69$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4674344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Fluxo W7M48c266.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9754944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed paiN Gaming48c265.78$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9627535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeeb…b069backed paiN Gaming53c261.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36c3…a901backed paiN Gaming42c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked paiN Gaming50c239.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.616540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked paiN Gaming56c227.96$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.661631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Fluxo W7M54c227.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5918241.8%76 W · 106 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b7…52bebacked Fluxo W7M48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.518148.1%87 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Fluxo W7M37c208.92$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6321836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed paiN Gaming56c206.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7315945.3%72 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked paiN Gaming11c205.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0722636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked paiN Gaming49c203.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3137342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fluxo W7M48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10448652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked paiN Gaming51c196.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fae…5d6dbacked paiN Gaming53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Fluxo W7M54c185.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.379345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN Gaming56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked paiN Gaming48c166.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0625639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed paiN Gaming53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.821735.9%78 W · 139 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fb…d9d0backed Fluxo W7M47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5710457.7%60 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked paiN Gaming14c156.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1660124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Fluxo W7M45c151$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0514650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed paiN Gaming64c140.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8918741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Fluxo W7M51c137.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.880150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed paiN Gaming50c132.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.627754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fluxo W7M38c130.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7254054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M35c124.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9628042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked paiN Gaming55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013040.8%53 W · 77 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed paiN Gaming40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Fluxo W7M57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4328240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Fluxo W7M70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed paiN Gaming34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…e55abacked paiN Gaming34c98.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46277.4%2 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-85.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed paiN Gaming51c97.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Fluxo W7M51c95.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.337349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Fluxo W7M49c95.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.778749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Fluxo W7M47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed Fluxo W7M54c75.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.872352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN Gaming42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.526940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Fluxo W7M48c71.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.385846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Fluxo W7M50c66.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4419844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b6…c475backed paiN Gaming63c61.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.583636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed paiN Gaming48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…6929backed paiN Gaming51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed paiN Gaming53c56.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309461.7%58 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d7…615fbacked Fluxo W7M53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed paiN Gaming52c52.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.383253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed paiN Gaming49c52.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6315551.6%80 W · 75 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Fluxo W7M47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.