Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9287d12288057cb853cef3165f2f9a7683e4666dd67ea02cac8f9c91ba0232a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 56c | 24,757$13,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.16 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 9,744$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.36 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,090$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,031$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 815.78$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 443.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 424.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 394.11$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 210.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 159.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…6e34backed Yes | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 125.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 124.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 84.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 63.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 58c | 52.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 51.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…93d9backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 43.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed No | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will Odense BK win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Randers FC vs. Odense BK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.