Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC vs. Odense BK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd501efa5a4fe3eb956cea295455f4acd5424229129c97a04fea22f569810cfec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 3,938$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.97 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 33c | 2,670$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 1,402$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 76c | 1,154$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,080$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 66c | 352.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 52c | 179.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 168.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 57c | 82.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 50.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 45.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 50c | 33.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed No | 52c | 30.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 27.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC vs. Odense BK end in a draw?this page
- Will Odense BK win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.