Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08384fb7ca80c11e12077ed870ce671218e30ddc72e9103740aa476d228cd568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…9ac6backed Yes | 9c | 1,958$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fde…55acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,251$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,157$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 10c | 1,097$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 7c | 1,005$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa736…4891backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 8c | 823.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 8c | 618.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…33ffbacked Yes | 12c | 508.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 11c | 433.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 6c | 423.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 13c | 393.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 13c | 392.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 8c | 362.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 8c | 358.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…53d1backed Yes | 14c | 352.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 12c | 325.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes | 12c | 258.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…3709backed Yes | 10c | 254.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 9c | 234.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 10c | 223$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…de93backed Yes | 14c | 217.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…ecc2backed Yes | 10c | 205.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…ead3backed Yes | 14c | 198.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 9c | 198.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 10c | 170.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 10c | 169.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed Yes | 8c | 155.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 154.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 152.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 131.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 14c | 125.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Yes | 9c | 110.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…803cbacked Yes | 12c | 83.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…978fbacked Yes | 14c | 73.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?this page
- Will Benin win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Burkina Faso win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will DR Congo win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Mali win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Mozambique win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Yes won
- Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
- Will Tunisia win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.