TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c3,644$39 inLost-$38.770%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d9…560dbacked Yes3c3,492$118 inLost-$11810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes5c3,223$163 inLost-$163.472725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb198…e047backed Yes6c1,820$116 inLost-$11610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c1,557$28 inLost-$28.161711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes2c1,500$25 inLost-$25.53619.4%7 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,361$29 inLost-$28.797799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff6…1bc7backed Yes5c1,064$51 inLost-$5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Yes3c800$26 inLost-$262213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…3275backed Yes2c561.41$11 inLost-$10.784540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes4c499.99$19 inLost-$18.84122%9 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba2d…4a4cbacked Yes7c440.57$31 inLost-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733e…0770backed Yes3c331.77$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f3…7db4backed Yes7c326.39$22 inLost-$22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Yes5c250.67$12 inLost-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…8a4bbacked Yes10c202.02$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.