TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mannarinoof Martinez, Mannarino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Mannarino58c7,990$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Mannarino49c6,549$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.837357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Martinez39c6,450$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.276829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Martinez48c6,182$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.1410444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mannarino54c4,348$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.581,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mannarino62c4,267$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mannarino59c4,135$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.2376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Martinez52c3,944$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.1993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Martinez42c3,593$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Mannarino58c3,450$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.8559151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Mannarino61c3,350$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.575950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Martinez51c2,669$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.7612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Martinez41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0257736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Martinez44c2,422$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Mannarino55c2,420$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.029247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mannarino65c2,408$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.272,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Mannarino58c2,374$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.0822037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Martinez9c2,235$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.258040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Martinez52c2,025$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mannarino59c1,927$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.212,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Martinez31c1,821$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.651,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Martinez33c1,795$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Martinez50c1,696$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.6612335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mannarino62c1,620$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.611,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Martinez46c1,548$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71835730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Martinez44c1,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Martinez40c1,352$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Martinez46c1,300$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mannarino50c1,278$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.872,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Mannarino57c1,248$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.952365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Martinez40c1,162$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6130530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Mannarino58c1,029$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Martinez40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mannarino51c962.68$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.537,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Martinez42c958.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Martinez4c917$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6718636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Mannarino51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44166949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Martinez34c889.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Martinez38c803.47$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.463,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Martinez40c749.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9947639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mannarino52c721$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.0875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Martinez2c699.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.612033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Martinez41c526.83$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21646553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Mannarino60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Martinez39c425.21$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.384,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Martinez6c405.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Martinez45c372.38$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mannarino61c349.57$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.312,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Mannarino61c344.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.371050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Martinez41c343.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Martinez45c313.65$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Martinez41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12354138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Martinez40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25ee…56e7backed Martinez41c290.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.061030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Martinez44c263.61$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mannarino73c262.6$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.911,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Martinez39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Martinez41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Mannarino61c244.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.886851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Martinez37c235.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.113834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ab…8047backed Martinez43c232.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Martinez24c216.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5126227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Martinez40c211$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3318551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mannarino60c206$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.681,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Martinez43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Mannarino58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Mannarino56c179.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x319a…03cebacked Martinez45c173.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Martinez41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Mannarino61c164.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5910862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino55c161.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Martinez39c157.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Martinez49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Martinez41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Martinez40c129.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.921,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Martinez44c125.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Mannarino59c121.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.451758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Martinez41c121$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Mannarino61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4718863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Martinez42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9828462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Mannarino56c104.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0165652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Martinez29c104.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303435.3%12 W · 22 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Mannarino79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Martinez38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Martinez55c97.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4453752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mannarino61c92.65$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.712,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Martinez39c88.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mannarino61c86.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Mannarino60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Mannarino61c82.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Mannarino55c79.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.268430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Mannarino50c78.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4127147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Martinez40c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Martinez41c63.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Martinez41c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.836953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Mannarino55c62.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4832837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mannarino57c61.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mannarino52c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Martinez40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Martinez40c49.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.