Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. North Florida Ospreys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce7ec0337e018899aa77e1f1b9fac9e972741e2486db6c67e1bc30423746f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lipscomb Bisonsof Lipscomb Bisons, North Florida Ospreys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Florida Ospreys | 10c | 3,812$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Florida Ospreys | 16c | 1,130$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Florida Ospreys | 6c | 846.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Florida Ospreys | 14c | 653.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed North Florida Ospreys | 6c | 536.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed North Florida Ospreys | 58c | 514.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Florida Ospreys | 15c | 310.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lipscomb Bisons | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Florida Ospreys | 36c | 214.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 178.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked North Florida Ospreys | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Florida Ospreys | 31c | 143.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Florida Ospreys | 33c | 138.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Florida Ospreys | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Florida Ospreys | 16c | 73.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 54c | 72.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 67.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lipscomb Bisons | 52c | 57.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Lipscomb Bisons | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Lipscomb Bisons | 69c | 41.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 54c | 41.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 48c | 32.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lipscomb Bisons | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…3ccbbacked North Florida Ospreys | 58c | 27.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lipscomb Bisons vs. North Florida Ospreysthis page
- Lipscomb Bisons vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 165.5Over won
- Lipscomb Bisons vs. North Florida Ospreys: O/U 166.5Over won
- Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-11.5)North Florida Ospreys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.