Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a65c162d17a9467e51e3e1f5cb84fa3844604fd480960d950e6dd30f079bd57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Kentucky Colonelsof Central Arkansas Bears, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 10,309$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.86 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 4,575$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 1,860$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.2 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 1,211$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.94 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.95 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 55c | 953.45$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 865$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 46c | 826.49$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.3 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 52c | 813.35$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 40c | 525.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 41c | 490$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 40c | 388.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 43c | 337.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 41c | 326.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 50c | 313.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 311.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 258$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 49c | 239.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 53c | 208.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Central Arkansas Bears | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 57c | 160.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Central Arkansas Bears | 27c | 154.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 125$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Central Arkansas Bears | 56c | 101.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Central Arkansas Bears | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 19c | 99.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 59c | 86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 72c | 83.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 54c | 72.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 51c | 63.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 50c | 53.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 57c | 50.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Arkansas Bears | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 45.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Arkansas Bears | 42c | 39.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Central Arkansas Bears | 38c | 30.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Central Arkansas Bears | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 48c | 26.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 39c | 25.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 50c | 21.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Central Arkansas Bears | 61c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsthis page
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-2.5)Eastern Kentucky Colonels won
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-1.5)Eastern Kentucky Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.