Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad51062f96d9dd389969e9b3555e8b597991ee49b2c12ad767aca330b3d14b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Zero Tenacity, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Zero Tenacity | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,944$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Zero Tenacity | 2c | 1,812$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 1,087$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.54 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 819.06$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.72 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 609.4$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 448.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 317.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 201.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 195.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 145$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 103$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 87.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 86.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 76.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 70.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 59.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…acb1backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 56.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 54.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 50.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 42.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 38.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 29.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 27.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 25.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.