Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cyprus win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8febb8ec1392b53adb8969fe66f9077391fb040a8838986fba309efbd8de7124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 19,759$9,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,472.27 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 5,305$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.79 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 3,055$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 64c | 1,243$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 1,200$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,186$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.1 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 53c | 952.83$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 736$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 63c | 695.13$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.46 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 57c | 680$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 619$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 523.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 482.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 79c | 415.05$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 258.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 25c | 225$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 199.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 176.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 175.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes | 79c | 153.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 51c | 153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 78c | 133.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 57c | 131.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 50c | 109.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 106.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…017cbacked Yes | 45c | 103.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 99.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…35febacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 55c | 91.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 88.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 58c | 74.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 28c | 73.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 36.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 40c | 35.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 33c | 35.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…e62bbacked Yes | 53c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…953abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…b7e7backed Yes | 53c | 27.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…c96dbacked Yes | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Yes | 79c | 23.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked Yes | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Cyprus vs. Estonia end in a draw?No won
- Will Estonia win on 2025-11-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.