Champions League · resolved market
Flamengo vs. Esperance Sportive de Tunis: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744ce68a3bc9fc67fb4f5c36b280278edc7ee4b23d6ed5cf247d78bb6d5e91a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,503$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.23 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…6e4ebacked No | 53c | 1,471$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 50c | 923.06$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.53 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 793.61$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 44c | 524.24$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…dfe0backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 53c | 206.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 48c | 103.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Yes | 49c | 43.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked Yes | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 52c | 31.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked No | 57c | 26.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 52c | 19.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.