Earnings · resolved market
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3206e3e62ec273d4656e26b9c1816e824cf8b2f4db34a346650389851d37e57d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 12c | 1,242$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.46 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 13c | 699.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.97 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…894cbacked No | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.56 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed No | 19c | 499$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 16c | 389.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 12c | 384.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 12c | 281.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.6 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 13c | 263.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 77c | 240$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 212.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 14c | 197.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 12c | 180$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 15c | 176.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 164.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 18c | 143.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…4fa2backed No | 15c | 141.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 72c | 139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…8eaabacked No | 15c | 136.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 15c | 133.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed No | 16c | 126.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 126$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…e8dfbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…43efbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 15c | 92.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…3352backed No | 15c | 72.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +259.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d8e1backed No | 25c | 56.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.