Earnings · resolved market
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb74afc97c95488d4dd4ff84065358ae0c3428abd8d1f465c276eb91b85e0263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 0c | 10,815$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 7c | 4,284$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed Yes | 3c | 1,817$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…af0ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 24c | 1,309$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.93 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…9bd7backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…c0cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…e358backed Yes | 2c | 1,002$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 31c | 804.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked No | 26c | 620.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…cd65backed Yes | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 5c | 542.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.69 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 533.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 14c | 511.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.47 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 431.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.08 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 20c | 402.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…5029backed Yes | 67c | 319.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 74c | 266$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 79c | 176.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 18c | 175.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…0db0backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +132%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 14c | 139.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…3c7ebacked Yes | 71c | 138.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked Yes | 73c | 137.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…8355backed Yes | 78c | 128.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 28c | 101.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 20c | 76.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 75c | 73.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Yes | 72c | 63.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 75c | 50.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked Yes | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…16cabacked Yes | 68c | 29.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…687ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…75dabacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…656ebacked Yes | 68c | 24.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 75c | 21.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0f25backed Yes | 80c | 20.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…ec07backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.