College Football · resolved market
Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f5438247f7bcfaffefe0831075ff1a16d19c73380cf89895f8d3cd1814d316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 35c | 12,197$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,944.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 65c | 8,893$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 64c | 6,999$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 63c | 4,316$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.69 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 37c | 1,957$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 52c | 1,861$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.36 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,766$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +1,835.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,084$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 886.73$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Yes | 69c | 819.29$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 69c | 540.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Yes | 67c | 499.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 64c | 252$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…62c1backed Yes | 67c | 249.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed Yes | 65c | 231.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 66c | 199.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 67c | 150.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked No | 31c | 103.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175a…d3bcbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 24c | 91.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +743.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 32c | 88.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…44eebacked No | 35c | 82.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 68c | 73.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba98…6440backed Yes | 67c | 60.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…c1f3backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…9867backed No | 33c | 48.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…8983backed No | 31c | 47.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…a726backed No | 33c | 45.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…19f0backed No | 33c | 45.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…8990backed No | 33c | 43.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…1999backed No | 34c | 43.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…ee12backed No | 33c | 43.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…319fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…d845backed No | 34c | 42.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e024backed No | 33c | 42.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…9da9backed No | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…939cbacked No | 34c | 41.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…ae65backed No | 33c | 41.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…7758backed No | 33c | 40.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…7afebacked No | 34c | 40.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…e524backed No | 33c | 40.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…af04backed No | 33c | 40.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…bf9abacked Yes | 68c | 40.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8bddbacked No | 33c | 39.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…381bbacked No | 33c | 39.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…07cabacked Yes | 70c | 39.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…05cbbacked Yes | 70c | 39.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…1cd9backed No | 32c | 39.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b1…c043backed No | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…8d56backed No | 33c | 38.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…b163backed No | 33c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…9814backed No | 33c | 38.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…adc5backed No | 33c | 37.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…6684backed Yes | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…ed5ebacked No | 33c | 36.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…57dfbacked No | 33c | 36.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…5e39backed No | 33c | 36.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…6dc3backed No | 33c | 35.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…25d0backed No | 33c | 35.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…a607backed No | 33c | 34.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…e2aebacked No | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…a5fdbacked No | 33c | 34.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…6cd4backed No | 33c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…6a6abacked No | 32c | 33.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8632backed No | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fab…43eebacked No | 33c | 32.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 31c | 32.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…8a8bbacked No | 33c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…d258backed No | 33c | 31.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c3…ea7fbacked No | 33c | 30.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…5bcdbacked No | 34c | 30.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…6f7dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…744abacked Yes | 70c | 23.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…f529backed Yes | 68c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…e6e4backed Yes | 66c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…dfc3backed Yes | 68c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…0adabacked Yes | 71c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…008abacked Yes | 70c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…2b3abacked Yes | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…6c08backed Yes | 70c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…fa25backed Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…40f8backed Yes | 69c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e33…df24backed Yes | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…49a3backed Yes | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…3b26backed Yes | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?this page
- Will Arizona State make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Boise State make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Georgia make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Indiana make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game?Yes won
- Will Oregon make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Penn State make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Tennessee make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
- Will Texas make the CFP National Championship Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.