Earnings · resolved market
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77966830304d64c82eb3404815a62129d5ccae6ef311677f4ba5feb40e7793ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 1,063$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 20c | 544.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 66c | 512.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 15c | 462.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…15bbbacked Yes | 50c | 396.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 17c | 309.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed No | 19c | 221.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 217.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 15c | 215.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 80c | 206.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 22c | 200.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 71c | 148.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…464cbacked No | 50c | 137.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…06b3backed No | 39c | 132.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 125.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 121.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 32c | 111.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked No | 53c | 103.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…8231backed Yes | 49c | 97.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked No | 19c | 80.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 61.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…2873backed No | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 21c | 54.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 54.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 66c | 51.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…f3afbacked No | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 46c | 44.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked No | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…6726backed Yes | 76c | 31.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked No | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…1b8bbacked Yes | 76c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed7…7d44backed Yes | 76c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…ba52backed Yes | 76c | 22.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…494cbacked Yes | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.