Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3027499e02da819b7480f82e829a9f98858e085c4bdffe1aaf539b6b1415cfe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,509$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.06 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 1,030$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.35 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…e38dbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed No | 66c | 303.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…a290backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 35c | 215.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 61c | 132.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…24e3backed Yes | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed No | 65c | 46.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 61c | 40.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…c16cbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…6bcbbacked Yes | 39c | 37.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 65c | 35.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Arsenal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.