Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784cad9edfee85e0e2d4ee029470de7be59878306821401113a6a682fcc809a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 53c | 11,941$6,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,654.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 10,467$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 52c | 7,841$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.88 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 4,049$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.54 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 3,105$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.9 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 2,798$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.57 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…c1bebacked No | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 45c | 1,736$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 45c | 970$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 786.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 25c | 590$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 56c | 553$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 46c | 434.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…6622backed Yes | 56c | 212.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 46c | 208$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 52c | 155.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 43c | 151.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 55c | 150.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 53c | 123.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Yes | 56c | 106.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Yes | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 47c | 72.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 44c | 65.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 44c | 62.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 57c | 61.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 54c | 59.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 47c | 55.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…e77abacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 52c | 48.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…d748backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…65a0backed Yes | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5c…7a2dbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.