La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9be8bc47ddbe938c2e435a039935efe69d7cb4d5e89a68b3419851383b06d0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 68c | 11,856$8,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.07 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,971$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 3,426$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 3,174$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.08 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 1,803$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,732$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.16 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed No | 69c | 1,411$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,165$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 1,066$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 67c | 899.99$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 836.89$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.86 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 31c | 750$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 32c | 631.25$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 615.24$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 34c | 570.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 38c | 527.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 67c | 514.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 473.02$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 33c | 304.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…e12cbacked No | 69c | 286.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 227.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…a62fbacked Yes | 5c | 203.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 32c | 190.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 22c | 168.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef31…1798backed Yes | 38c | 168.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 68c | 128.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 120.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…82e0backed No | 69c | 117.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 11c | 109.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 107$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 104.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…bf93backed Yes | 26c | 101.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 28c | 100.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 28c | 98.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 68c | 70.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 53.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 74c | 50.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 60c | 47.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 22c | 46.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 32c | 44.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 78c | 42.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…1496backed Yes | 32c | 31.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 40c | 25.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed No | 68c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…7824backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.