CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22699b9db847abefe56734755d74bd931f5d93bd6a3dfc1196f52c328f7f196f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 24c | 11,236$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.73 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 3,657$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.59 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 2,820$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 40c | 1,919$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.45 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Spirit | 52c | 1,916$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.04 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,639$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Team Falcons | 18c | 1,190$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,129$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.9 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spirit | 56c | 985.58$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.65 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed Team Falcons | 11c | 765.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 732.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Spirit | 51c | 661.86$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 599.87$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.93 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 75c | 562.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…4143backed Team Falcons | 12c | 525$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Team Falcons | 38c | 496.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 400$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Spirit | 44c | 393.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.63 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…76b9backed Spirit | 57c | 387.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Spirit | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Team Falcons | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 56c | 317.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Spirit | 43c | 305.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Team Falcons | 57c | 288.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked Spirit | 62c | 270$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 263.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Spirit | 44c | 240.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Team Falcons | 53c | 233.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…50e8backed Spirit | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Spirit | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Spirit | 62c | 179.03$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 173.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 167$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Spirit | 46c | 140.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Team Falcons | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…093fbacked Spirit | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Falcons | 55c | 129.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 46c | 121.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…1e3ebacked Team Falcons | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2026backed Spirit | 45c | 109.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Falcons | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 109$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Team Falcons | 46c | 105.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Team Falcons | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Spirit | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Team Falcons | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Spirit | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa4…9f20backed Team Falcons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Team Falcons | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Spirit | 45c | 99.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Spirit | 54c | 91.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Spirit | 63c | 89.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…f2c2backed Team Falcons | 46c | 87.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeed…c44cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 85.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 48c | 84.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…7768backed Spirit | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Team Falcons | 61c | 77.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Team Falcons | 39c | 73.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 54c | 70.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Team Falcons | 24c | 62.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…cec2backed Spirit | 45c | 62.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Team Falcons | 61c | 58.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…9c91backed Spirit | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Spirit | 42c | 55.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Falcons | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…922bbacked Spirit | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…a0b5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…3171backed Spirit | 46c | 50.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Falcons | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Team Falcons | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5812…3e4ebacked Spirit | 45c | 45.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…4354backed Team Falcons | 38c | 43.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…f130backed Spirit | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Spirit | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd8…1cd8backed Team Falcons | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed Spirit | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Team Falcons | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Spirit | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed Spirit | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Spirit | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Spirit | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…f07cbacked Spirit | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Spirit | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Spirit | 74c | 30.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Spirit | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Falcons | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Spirit | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Spirit | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Spirit | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…d384backed Spirit | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.