South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167f9ae82f3c4c7a4ce057b7e592afb2d96d6c3332fd0d1481b3ce57ab4bb242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,433$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.24 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 69c | 2,159$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,004$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.83 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 33c | 801.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.53 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 42c | 712.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 680.84$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 632.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 13c | 579.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 69c | 435.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 35c | 363.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 39c | 233.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 11c | 230.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 30c | 229$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 70c | 221$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 193.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 183.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 155.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 70c | 114.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Yes | 18c | 113.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 43c | 88.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 79c | 44.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 70c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 63c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yes | 50c | 20.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.