South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b598218ebab4ba6479900d0cec647640509952765eab377fa7f73de253e3d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 33c | 16,326$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.42 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 3,677$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.29 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 2,467$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,868$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 8c | 1,212$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 56c | 1,032$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.92 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 38c | 957.94$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.94 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 36c | 653.12$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.9 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 58c | 477.93$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 54c | 420.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 387.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 7c | 346.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 255$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 25c | 246.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 35c | 225.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 31c | 207.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 8c | 195.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 192.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 29c | 189.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…6455backed Yes | 69c | 180$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 149.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 143.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 67c | 117.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 35c | 116.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…504fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 32c | 64.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 36c | 42.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed Yes | 51c | 41.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…d900backed Yes | 27c | 38.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 33.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…eff6backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 27.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 60c | 22.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…d879backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.