South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e56cba9fc9991b9008a5186b5af13c882dc0441350f1f49c6f971b53125197a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.94 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,829$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 1,502$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 15c | 1,025$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…70fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 50c | 888.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.71 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 30c | 844.59$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 49c | 611.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 50c | 601.3$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 50c | 541.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 46c | 216.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 68c | 213.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 28c | 185.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…cba7backed Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…410bbacked Yes | 45c | 132$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 113.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 100.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…ddaabacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…a8c1backed Yes | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 45c | 50.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 48c | 48.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf533…536fbacked Yes | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…3321backed Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 62c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.