Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf64c31fce44b832f514d5612a125d2d4a35a29c78063906fb72e70fd6a5342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,277$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 70c | 643.4$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 357.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 60c | 331.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Over | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 275.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 216.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 63c | 157.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Over | 64c | 155.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 62c | 154.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 39c | 146.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Over | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 60c | 98.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 94.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 60c | 84.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Over | 63c | 71.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Over | 63c | 67.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…bd20backed Over | 63c | 62.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 60.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 50.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 50c | 48.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Under | 27c | 47.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 32c | 46.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 45c | 43.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Over | 64c | 39.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 34.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ac…4326backed Over | 60c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 60c | 32.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 45c | 32.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 67c | 31.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 37c | 30.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 66c | 29.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 66c | 29.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 64c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 64c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 65c | 27.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…5032backed Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 60c | 24.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 63c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 53c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 64c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 3.5this page
- Argentina vs. Zambia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Zambia (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Zambia (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.