South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154b39b0a0367fc042246fde432ee3aa9e16072a7667d8d625034d2f40a60a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 36c | 45,000$16,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,349.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 59c | 25,923$15,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,538.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 8,754$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 70c | 5,457$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 76c | 5,134$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.66 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 29c | 800$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 62c | 219$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 185.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 158.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 107.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 37c | 69.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…9283backed No | 63c | 63.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 78c | 49.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5d15backed No | 63c | 47.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 63c | 46.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 62c | 45.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 39c | 38.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…7cb3backed Yes | 40c | 37.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 37c | 29.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…72f8backed Yes | 78c | 28.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 62c | 18.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-03?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.