South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48246f21f186ba9b24426724ebf8fd50246d63903fc198ee21b73aa8945909d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Yes | 41c | 5,746$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 5,265$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.68 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 4,207$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.81 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Yes | 44c | 2,863$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,534$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 1,215$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.27 | 416 | 41.1%171 W · 245 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 1,142$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 73c | 570.44$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 46c | 444.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 69c | 368.76$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 60c | 360.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 20c | 339.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 55c | 183.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Yes | 43c | 161.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked No | 17c | 129.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…b8e5backed Yes | 43c | 116.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 44c | 100.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 95.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 56c | 89.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 41c | 85.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 62c | 64.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535d…6ff7backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 45c | 62.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…b49abacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…9d35backed Yes | 40c | 51.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 54c | 46.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…7592backed Yes | 49c | 32.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…6f75backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…0169backed Yes | 55c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…1008backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…b9a8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad20…012fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed No | 73c | 14.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CF Universidad de Chile end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.