Earnings · resolved market
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9907e435f8c9cae11ba55c60d86cf0f35e35e0d80aaa0a69f318fedcaad18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 17c | 8,359$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.31 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 18c | 4,626$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.28 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 20c | 2,311$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.93 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…053fbacked No | 16c | 1,809$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 24c | 1,400$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbf…5a47backed No | 17c | 1,331$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 78c | 1,142$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 77c | 1,051$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…0b4bbacked No | 14c | 1,046$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed No | 17c | 1,032$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed No | 14c | 1,022$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…fd14backed Yes | 78c | 1,020$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…492fbacked No | 13c | 989$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 904.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…acdabacked No | 12c | 830.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…ff0cbacked No | 21c | 776.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 21c | 699.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes | 79c | 610.59$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3b…9949backed Yes | 79c | 607.57$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5e…9a2dbacked No | 14c | 599.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 597.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 11c | 566.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 21c | 560.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…9a10backed No | 10c | 479.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 79c | 457$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 14c | 403.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 19c | 395.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 16c | 394.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 13c | 358.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 79c | 355.58$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 16c | 318.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…a464backed No | 19c | 307.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…5ef3backed No | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…3a4dbacked No | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed Yes | 79c | 278.87$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…38c8backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…0e24backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…92b5backed No | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed No | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…5f7abacked No | 16c | 173.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 18c | 172.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 23c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 8c | 161$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…2668backed Yes | 78c | 127.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 14c | 127.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…ca98backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…baf6backed No | 14c | 125.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…c855backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 110.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…a52abacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 75c | 99.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…8336backed Yes | 79c | 96.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…041fbacked No | 14c | 93.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked No | 13c | 86.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 20c | 67.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…afd5backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 19c | 57.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 77c | 52.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…9aefbacked Yes | 79c | 48.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…2a57backed Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed Yes | 80c | 37.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…e35bbacked Yes | 77c | 35.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…57d8backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…b2acbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…ec60backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…2a9dbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…505bbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…5b44backed Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…ede8backed Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…32a6backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…84b1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.